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...and on to the final!

Posted by: The Conversation Global highlights

Date: Friday, 17 July 2026

Global Edition - Today's top story: 'Tactically complete' Spain vs an inspired Messi-led Argentina. Who will win the World Cup final? View in browser

17 July 2026

Global Edition

 

One hundred and two matches down, just two to go. And only one of them carries any real importance.

When the final ball is kicked on Sunday, how will the FIFA World Cup 2026 be remembered? It had standout moments, players and goals, but what did we learn about the current state of the world’s most popular sport.

For starters, despite the expanded roster of nations represented, the same teams dominated – the final four were many people’s picks at the beginning of the tournament. France and England fell at the semi-final stage, but not before furthering questions about identity and representation. Yet despite teams being more diverse than ever, racism is sadly still present in the game.

Elsewhere, we discovered that despite – or because of – the widespread use of video assistant referee (VAR), controversial calls will remain major talking points. Governing body FIFA meanwhile did little to improve its image during the tournament, and a cloud hangs over its ability not to be swayed by powerful nations and figures.

So on to the final, which will feature a “tactically complete” Spain take on an Argentina “built around the extraordinary commitment” of players around Lionel Messi, as one of our writers put it. I’m making no predictions, but I will note that even before the first ball was kicked in this World Cup, we ran an article based on 100,000 computer simulations that suggested that the likely winner would be … Spain.

 

Matt Williams

Senior International Editor – New York

Top story

WILL OLIVER/EPA

‘Tactically complete’ Spain vs an inspired Messi-led Argentina. Who will win the World Cup final?

Steve Georgakis, University of Sydney

Spain is a complete team, coached by a manager at the peak of his powers. Argentina is also a great team – but a different type of great team.

 

World Cup VAR controversies show why human referees should decide where potential fouls begin

Angela Schneider, Western University; Guanpeng Zhou, Western University

Two overturned World Cup goals, in Argentina-Egypt and Norway-England, show that replay can reveal a foul, but only a referee can decide how far back the review should go.

The ball is round – and contrary to some keepers’ views, in this World Cup it has performed just fine

John Eric Goff, Purdue University

Is the Trionda ball being used at the tournament traveling too fast or flying unpredictably? We asked a physicist who tested the ball.

 

Backed into a corner by Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, Trump may resort to even more reckless escalation

Greg Barton, Deakin University

The reality is there is no military pathway to opening the Strait of Hormuz. Trump may attempt to find one anyway.

What science loses when T. rex becomes a trophy

Kristi Curry Rogers, Macalester College

Sold for a record price of more than $50 million, ‘Gus’ was described by Sotheby’s as more than 60% complete.

Africa’s Greater Horn region is facing a looming polycrisis fueled by conflict, prices, climate and disease

Daniel Maxwell, Tufts University; Alex de Waal, Tufts University; Luka Kuol, University of Juba; Merry Fitzpatrick, Tufts University; Peter Hailey, Tufts University

The response to the many problems facing the region has been set back by cuts in humanitarian aid.

 
 
 

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