World News

Trump and Iran | War in Ethiopia

Posted by: The Conversation Global

Date: Friday, 20 November 2020

 

A report in the New York Times this week that Donald Trump had asked his military advisers to look at options for an air strike against Iran’s nuclear installations was an ominous warning that, until January 20 at least, the US president still holds the reins to his country’s war machine. The same report sought to reassure readers that Trump’s senior staff had counselled strenuously against such a plan, warning that not only would use of force be illegal, but it could all-too easily spill out into a massive regional conflict. As Christopher Bluth writes, Trump’s Iran policy has done nothing to calm tensions between the two countries. Joe Biden will need to rely heavily on soft power to get the troubled relationship back on track.

The conflict between the central government of Ethiopia and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front threatens to cause a humanitarian crisis and could possibly turn into a regional conflict. There’s general agreement that it has its roots in the attempts by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed to remake Ethiopian politics, a process which always creates winners and losers. What’s in dispute are Abiy’s motives for reorganising Ethiopian politics and governance. Asafa Jalata argues that Abiy is out to destroy Tigrayan power and has aligned himself with the Amahara, one of Ethiopia’s three major ethnic groups. The other two are the Oromo and Tigrayans. The Tigrayans, who led the movement that ousted Colonel Mengistu Hailemariam in 1991, had dominated Ethiopian politics for almost three decades.

For Yohannes Gedamu, Abiy has been mending Ethiopia’s fabric, including the creation of an inclusive political environment and overseeing the return of once armed anti-Ethiopian government rebel groups from foreign bases to pursue peaceful political participation. However, his efforts have been stymied by a lack of peace and security, in particular the inter-ethnic clashes and internal displacement of citizens. Tensions that had been simmering between the Tigrayan front and Abiy’s government eventually boiled over. Gedamu says a political settlement through dialogue and negotiation could be a solution to the conflict.

Jonathan Este

Associate Editor, International Affairs Editor

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